Looming Social Security Funding Gap: The Truth about Seniors and Poverty

Failure to address Social Security’s funding gap could leave millions of seniors struggling to afford basic necessities.
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Written by: Tim J. Wooten

Attorney at Law

Tim has 20 years of practice experience and has wide experience with federal and state courts throughout the country in insurance coverage, insurance defense, complex litigation, construction and design, product liability, breach of contract, federal tax controversy and disputes before the IRS and U.S. Tax Court, settlements and probate, and multi-jurisdictional litigation.

Looming Social Security Funding Gap: The Truth about Seniors and Poverty
Many politicians claim that they won’t touch Social Security, thinking it will safeguard older adults. However, a new study by the Urban Institute reveals that not addressing Social Security’s financial shortfall could push 3.8 million seniors into poverty by 2045. According to Forbes, a substantial projected benefit decrease will leave low-income seniors the hardest hit.

How Will the Funding Gap Affect Seniors and Poverty?

Ignoring the Social Security funding gap means serious trouble for low-income seniors. Researchers Richard Johnson and Karen Smith found that under current trends, the poorest 40% of households would see their median income fall by nearly one-fifth. Meanwhile, higher-income households would see a relatively negligible decrease in their income. For seniors relying on Social Security to cover their increasing Medicare premiums, this cut could deprive them of basic needs like food and shelter.

Why Is Social Security Facing a Shortfall?

Social Security’s funds are running low because there are not enough workers paying into the system to support the growing number of retirees. Social Security’s actuaries predict that by 2035, the program will only be able to pay about 83% of promised benefits. Eventually, this will drop to 73%.

The Demographic Time Bomb

The demographic time bomb is a ticking clock for Social Security. As more Baby Boomers retire and claim benefits for longer periods, the ratio of workers to retirees worsens. This imbalance means fewer payroll tax contributions to support the increasing number of beneficiaries. Without intervention, the system will struggle to meet its obligations, leaving many seniors vulnerable.

What are the Possible Solutions?

There are several ways to fix the Social Security funding gap. However, they require political action. Possible solutions include raising taxes, cutting benefits, or a combination of both. Congress could also change the law to use general funds for Social Security benefits, which might mean borrowing more money, cutting other programs, or raising new taxes.

Could Raising Taxes Help?

One option to fix the funding gap is to raise taxes. For example, Congress could increase the payroll tax cap, currently $168,600. There is now no cap for Medicare payroll taxes, and implementing capless taxation could significantly increase Social Security revenues. Congress could also expand the tax base to include investment income.

What about Adjusting Benefits?

Congress could raise the retirement age or restructure benefits to provide more support for lower-wage workers, while reducing benefits for high-income seniors. This could help balance the distribution of funds and ensure that those who need it most are supported.

Political Challenges and Inaction

Despite the clear need for action, political challenges hinder progress. Politicians often avoid making tough decisions, hoping the problem will resolve itself. However, doing nothing is not a viable solution. The longer Congress waits to address the issue, the more severe the consequences will be for seniors who depend on Social Security for their livelihood.

The Consequences of Inaction for Seniors and Poverty

Ignoring the Social Security shortfall is not an option. The problem has been known for decades. However, politicians often avoid addressing it, hoping something will turn up. Doing nothing would be catastrophic for many low-income seniors who rely on Social Security for essentials like food, medical care and shelter. Poverty among the elderly could ultimately reach the highest level in almost a century.

The Importance of Financial and Estate Planning

Given the uncertainty surrounding Social Security, older Americans must take their financial future into their own hands. An estate planning attorney can help you create a comprehensive plan that ensures your financial security, regardless of changes to Social Security. This planning includes setting up trusts, wills and other financial tools to protect your assets and provide for your loved ones.

Steps to Take Now

  • Review Your Retirement Plan: Understand how potential changes to Social Security could impact your retirement income.
  • Diversify Your Income Sources: Consider other income streams, such as pensions, savings and investments, to reduce your reliance on Social Security.
  • Consult an Estate Planning Attorney: Get professional advice on protecting your assets and planning for a secure future.

Plan for the Future

The uncertainty around Social Security highlights the importance of planning for your financial future. An estate planning attorney can help you create a plan that ensures your financial security, regardless of changes to Social Security. Don’t wait for a crisis to act. Contact us today to learn more about how we can make the uncertainty of the future just a little more certain.

Key Takeaways

  • Social Security Can’t Be Ignored: Ignoring Social Security’s funding gap could push 3.8 million seniors into poverty by 2045.
  • Impact on Low-Income Seniors: The lowest-income seniors could see their incomes drop by nearly one-fifth.
  • Demographic Time Bomb: There are too few workers supporting a growing number of retirees, and this trend will only grow worse.
  • Possible Solutions: Raising taxes, adjusting benefits, or using general funds could help close the gap.
  • Importance of Financial Planning: Planning with an estate attorney can ensure financial security, despite changes to Social Security.
Reference: Forbes (Jul. 26, 2024) “Leaving Social Security Untouched May Drive 3.8M Seniors Into Poverty
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